Weekly Market Recap - HardAssetsInvestor.com Join Brad Zigler and Matt Hougan every week as they recap the week in the commodities marketplace. More than just stats and numbers, Brad and Matt will give you insights and commentary you just can't find anywhere else. http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com en-us Copyright Hard Assets Investor 10 Fri, 10 Sep 2010 03:50:57 Fri, 10 Sep 2010 03:50:57 webmaster@hardassetsinvestor.com Energy, Agriculture <![CDATA[Taking The Active Approach To Commodities ETFs]]> K. Geert RouwenhorstK. Geert Rouwenhorst and Kurt Nelson of SummerHaven Index Management, LLC explain how to go beyond passive in commodities exposure.

 

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<![CDATA[The Waiting Game: Commodity ETPs In Limbo]]> Commodity traders aren't used to waiting, but wait they must if they opt for futures alternatives.

 

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<![CDATA[Commodity Futures Outperforming Stocks]]> PerformanceIt's official: Commodity equities have finally ceded to futures, on the issue of performance. So what's behind their surprising decline?

 

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<![CDATA[Commodity Stocks Losing Ground]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): -0.3%

If you were a hard asset investor last year, you'd have been better off owning equity interests in producers and processors rather than the commodities themselves. In 2009, for example, the Market Vectors RVE Hard Assets Producers ETF (NYSE Arca: HAP)—an index-based portfolio comprising more than 300 global firms' stocks in the energy, agriculture, metals and forest products sectors—racked up a 41.5 percent gain, grossly outperforming the GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index Fund (NYSE Arca: GCC). GCC, which tracks an equal-weighted index of 17 U.S.-traded commodity futures, gained 20.1 percent in 2009.

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<![CDATA[Wearin' Of The Green By Commodity (Stock) Investors]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 2.3%

As a child, I remember being very careful to wear green on St. Patrick's Day to avoid pinches from schoolmates. Investors in greenery this year have managed to avoid some financial pain themselves.

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<![CDATA[Agribusiness Stocks Scoring New Highs Against Futures]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 2.3%

Earlier this week ("Add Soft Wheat To Your Hard Asset List"), we noted bottoming action and bullish seasonality in Chicago wheat futures bolstering the price of the iPath Dow Jones-UBS Grains Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSE Arca: JJG).

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<![CDATA[Ranking 2009’s Commodity ETPs]]> As we head toward 2010, we take one last look back at the year's best-performing commodities—and its worst.
  • Why do returns between ETFs, ETNs and trusts differ?
  • Rankings of 12 different commodities
  • What a difference contango makes
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<![CDATA[Commodity Stocks Losing Momentum]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 0.9%*

Every thing has its season, according to the lyrics in the Byrds' famous tune, "Turn, Turn, Turn." It's doubtful the folk rock band thought their trademark song would ever become an anthem for investment cyclicality, but it is appropriate background music for today's market.

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<![CDATA[CFTC Moving Toward Transparency]]> Is the new DCOT report one small step for the CFTC, one giant leap for market transparency?
  • The reason for the new report
  • COT vs. DCOT explained
  • What did the first report reveal?
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<![CDATA[When NOT To Fade Retail Traders]]> When it comes to hedgers, large speculators and small investors, who really has the best trading track record?
  • Small speculators as 'afterthoughts'
  • Hedgers vs. speculators in the 2007-08 oil run-up
  • When to listen to retail traders
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<![CDATA[Futures-Based ETFs: Going Away, Or Just In Flux?]]> With ETF issuers closing the creation window, does the futures-based ETF have any hope? Will new position limits effectively kill the business and kick retail investors out of the commodities markets? Matt Hougan and Dave Nadig discuss.


Podcast
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<![CDATA[Why Commodity Stocks Are Edging Out Futures]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (per annum): 4.3%*

Investors, rather than traders, have had the advantage in the commodities markets this year. Largely, that's because stockholders can outlast highly leveraged futures traders while waiting for a trend to develop. Of course, you can always use an exchange-traded fund (ETF) as a proxy for futures to insulate yourself from margin calls.

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<![CDATA[Is Sugar A Sucker Play?]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (per annum): 8.4%

Wanna make a quick half-cent? Then take a look at October sugar.

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<![CDATA[Jurgens Bauer: Coffee Over $1.50 By Year End]]> The chief softs commodity analyst from ICE explains why some sections of the futures market are starting to pick up.
  • What it’s really like on the trading floor
  • Weaker dollar a major factor in softs market
  • Floor traders opposed to enhanced speculation
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<![CDATA[Good Times Return For Commodities (Stocks)]]> Real-time Monetary Inflation (per annum): 8.0%

In case you haven't noticed, several commodities have swung to a bullish mode now, particularly RBOB gasoline, the soybean complex and corn. Less well-developed are the trends in the petroleum complex, softs such as coffee, sugar and orange juice, feeder cattle and wheat.

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<![CDATA[Index Speculators: We'll Be Seeing You]]> Real-time Inflation Indicator (per annum): 8.6%

Ah, those were the days, weren't they?

Remember last year's heady rise in commodity prices? Do you also recall the cacophony of catcalls that accompanied it? Citizens and industry participants alike wanted to put so-called "index speculators" to the lash for heedlessly snatching up futures contracts and running up prices. At least, that was the story being told to Congress (see "Congress Blames Index Speculators").

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<![CDATA[The Urge To Converge]]> Real-time Inflation Indicator (per annum): 7.3%

Last week, the futures regulator, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, started soliciting nominations for a new subcommittee charged with examining the causes of poor cash-futures convergence in some agricultural commodity markets.

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<![CDATA[Michael Woolfolk: Outlook For 2009]]> Bank of New York Mellon chief currency strategist gives his forecast for the dollar, the euro, emerging markets and commodities.
  • Aggressive policy response
  • Postponing the inevitable?
  • Investors voting with their feet
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<![CDATA[Understanding Inflation]]> Commodities and inflation are in the same headlines time and again. So what's the connection?

  • The real definition of inflation
  • Commodities as an inflation driver?
  • Commodity investments as an inflation hedge?
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<![CDATA[From The Vault: Peter Schiff On The Gold Standard]]> The president of Euro Pacific Capital talks turkey with HardAssetsInvestor.com about what created the U.S. housing bubble and the resulting ‘phony economy.'
  • 'Doom and Gloom' redux
  • Capitalism vs. (over)regulation
  • Paradox of thrift … or Keynesian myth?
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